Dr. Nguyen Anh Tuan; Eng. Nguyen Khoa Viet Ha; MSc. Nguyen Anh Dung – Institute of Energy
Many countries in the world have their own energy system model for optimization study of the supply-demand system. Various models are applicable, but none is perfect and most of the models are programmed for developed countries with sufficient and standard database, stable structures of the economy and the energy system, and negligible role of renewable energy. Besides, it is difficult to modify or integrate socio-economic developmement issues or specific characteristics of Vietnam into the “tool-box” models.
The currently available and applied models in the form of “tool-box” in Vietnam such as MARKAL, EFOM-EVN, ENPEP, etc. are not suitable to Vietnam and do not allow manipulations into the models for broadening the study.
The scale of Vietnam energy system will multiply by many times in the coming 20 years. It means that more than two thirds of the energy system must be built from now. The orientation for optimized development of Vietnam energy system is of great importance. Furthermore, Vietnam energy system has several characteristics that should be reflected in the applied model such as the changes in both supply and demand structures, the rapid shift from conventional energy sources (non-commercial) to fossil fuels, the subsidy in energy production and consumption prices, the low efficiency and effectiveness, etc.
Therefore, the research team wishes to build a suitable supply-demand optimization model to better understand the interrelations inside Vietnam energy system, which allows regular maintenance and updates to reflect the changes in socio-economy and the energy system.
